{
  "id": "fsa-on-track",
  "category": "Schools",
  "title": "Grade 7 students on track in numeracy, Greater Victoria public schools",
  "geography": "School districts 61 (Greater Victoria), 62 (Sooke) and 63 (Saanich), public schools",
  "scope": "region",
  "levels": [
    "Boards of Education",
    "Province of B.C. (Ministry of Education and Child Care)"
  ],
  "plain_question": "Of the Grade 7 students who wrote the provincial numeracy assessment, what share were on track or beyond?",
  "value": 50.9,
  "display_value": "50.9%",
  "unit": "of writers on track or extending; 69% of students wrote",
  "period": "School year 2025/26",
  "period_start": "2025-09-01",
  "period_end": "2026-06-30",
  "comparison": {
    "previous_period": "School year 2024/25",
    "previous_value": 54.7,
    "change_percent": -3.8,
    "change_unit": "percentage points",
    "not_comparable": "participation differs by 8 points between 2024/25 and 2025/26 (more than 5)"
  },
  "trend": "context",
  "trend_basis": "50.9% of 2,235 writers in 2025/26 (69% of 3,236 expected students wrote), against 54.7% in 2024/25 (77% wrote). Participation differs by 8 points, more than 5, so the change is not compared.",
  "direction_good": "up",
  "right_direction": "A higher share means more of the students who wrote were on track or beyond.",
  "since_text": "69% of expected students wrote (2,235 of 3,236). B.C. public schools: 55.2% on track or extending, 82% wrote.",
  "caveats": [
    "The share is of students who wrote, not of all students. Not every expected student writes, and those who do not may differ from those who do, so participation is always shown beside the result.",
    "When participation differs by more than 5 points between the two years, the change is labelled Not comparable (the rule was 10 points until November 2026).",
    "Calculated here from the Province’s counts: (NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) ÷ NUMBER_WRITERS, summed over the three districts.",
    "Where the Province masks a small count (“Msk”), a combined share is not calculated."
  ],
  "participation": {
    "current": 69.1,
    "previous": 77.0,
    "previous_period": "2024/25",
    "text": "69% wrote, down from 77%"
  },
  "long_compare": {
    "period": "2021/22",
    "value": 60.2,
    "participation": 45.5,
    "not_comparable": "46% of expected students wrote in 2021/22 and 69% in 2025/26, a difference of 24 points (more than 5)"
  },
  "breakdown_title": "Grades 4 and 7, 2025/26",
  "breakdown": [
    {
      "label": "Grade 4 reading",
      "display_value": "71.2% on track or extending",
      "period": "2025/26",
      "detail": "2,425 of 3,242 expected students wrote (75%). 2024/25: 66.6%, 79% wrote. B.C. public schools: 69.8%, 83% wrote."
    },
    {
      "label": "Grade 4 numeracy",
      "display_value": "65.4% on track or extending",
      "period": "2025/26",
      "detail": "2,402 of 3,242 expected students wrote (74%). 2024/25: 66.6%, 79% wrote; not comparable, participation differs by more than 5 points. B.C. public schools: 62.9%, 83% wrote."
    },
    {
      "label": "Grade 7 reading",
      "display_value": "not calculated",
      "period": "2025/26",
      "detail": "At least one district’s count is masked (“Msk”) in the Province’s file, so a combined share cannot be calculated."
    },
    {
      "label": "Grade 7 numeracy",
      "display_value": "50.9% on track or extending",
      "period": "2025/26",
      "detail": "2,235 of 3,236 expected students wrote (69%). 2024/25: 54.7%, 77% wrote; not comparable, participation differs by more than 5 points. B.C. public schools: 55.2%, 82% wrote."
    }
  ],
  "charts": [
    {
      "title": "On track or extending, share of writers, Grade 7 (%)",
      "fmt": "dec1",
      "unit": "%",
      "lines": [
        {
          "name": "Grade 7 numeracy",
          "area": "sd",
          "series": [
            {
              "period": "2021/22",
              "value": 60.2
            },
            {
              "period": "2022/23",
              "value": 52.1
            },
            {
              "period": "2023/24",
              "value": 52.1
            },
            {
              "period": "2024/25",
              "value": 54.7
            },
            {
              "period": "2025/26",
              "value": 50.9
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "Students who wrote, Grade 7 numeracy",
          "area": "sd",
          "series": [
            {
              "period": "2021/22",
              "value": 45.5
            },
            {
              "period": "2022/23",
              "value": 52.3
            },
            {
              "period": "2023/24",
              "value": 58.4
            },
            {
              "period": "2024/25",
              "value": 77.0
            },
            {
              "period": "2025/26",
              "value": 69.1
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "B.C. public schools, Grade 7 numeracy",
          "area": "bc",
          "series": [
            {
              "period": "2021/22",
              "value": 61.6
            },
            {
              "period": "2022/23",
              "value": 57.2
            },
            {
              "period": "2023/24",
              "value": 55.5
            },
            {
              "period": "2024/25",
              "value": 58.7
            },
            {
              "period": "2025/26",
              "value": 55.2
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "On track or extending, share of writers, Grade 4 (%)",
      "fmt": "dec1",
      "unit": "%",
      "lines": [
        {
          "name": "Grade 4 reading",
          "area": "sd",
          "series": [
            {
              "period": "2021/22",
              "value": 78.2
            },
            {
              "period": "2022/23",
              "value": 76.1
            },
            {
              "period": "2023/24",
              "value": 72.3
            },
            {
              "period": "2024/25",
              "value": 66.6
            },
            {
              "period": "2025/26",
              "value": 71.2
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "Grade 4 numeracy",
          "area": "sd",
          "series": [
            {
              "period": "2021/22",
              "value": 72.1
            },
            {
              "period": "2022/23",
              "value": 63.6
            },
            {
              "period": "2023/24",
              "value": 65.2
            },
            {
              "period": "2024/25",
              "value": 66.6
            },
            {
              "period": "2025/26",
              "value": 65.4
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "period": "2021/22",
      "value": 60.2
    },
    {
      "period": "2022/23",
      "value": 52.1
    },
    {
      "period": "2023/24",
      "value": 52.1
    },
    {
      "period": "2024/25",
      "value": 54.7
    },
    {
      "period": "2025/26",
      "value": 50.9
    }
  ],
  "derived_figures": [
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 reading 2021/22",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1295,
        "writers": 1657,
        "expected": 2960
      },
      "result": 78.2
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 reading 2022/23",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1424,
        "writers": 1870,
        "expected": 3025
      },
      "result": 76.1
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 reading 2023/24",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1449,
        "writers": 2004,
        "expected": 3031
      },
      "result": 72.3
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 reading 2024/25",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1693,
        "writers": 2542,
        "expected": 3198
      },
      "result": 66.6
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 reading 2025/26",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1727,
        "writers": 2425,
        "expected": 3242
      },
      "result": 71.2
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 numeracy 2021/22",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1194,
        "writers": 1655,
        "expected": 2960
      },
      "result": 72.1
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 numeracy 2022/23",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1177,
        "writers": 1851,
        "expected": 3025
      },
      "result": 63.6
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 numeracy 2023/24",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1313,
        "writers": 2015,
        "expected": 3031
      },
      "result": 65.2
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 numeracy 2024/25",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1687,
        "writers": 2533,
        "expected": 3198
      },
      "result": 66.6
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 4 numeracy 2025/26",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1570,
        "writers": 2402,
        "expected": 3242
      },
      "result": 65.4
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 7 numeracy 2021/22",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 788,
        "writers": 1309,
        "expected": 2876
      },
      "result": 60.2
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 7 numeracy 2022/23",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 808,
        "writers": 1552,
        "expected": 2969
      },
      "result": 52.1
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 7 numeracy 2023/24",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 890,
        "writers": 1707,
        "expected": 2923
      },
      "result": 52.1
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 7 numeracy 2024/25",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1324,
        "writers": 2420,
        "expected": 3143
      },
      "result": 54.7
    },
    {
      "what": "Grade 7 numeracy 2025/26",
      "formula": "(NUMBER_ONTRACK + NUMBER_EXTENDING) / NUMBER_WRITERS; NUMBER_WRITERS / NUMBER_EXPECTED_WRITERS",
      "inputs": {
        "on_track_or_extending": 1138,
        "writers": 2235,
        "expected": 3236
      },
      "result": 50.9
    }
  ],
  "source": {
    "name": "Province of B.C., Ministry of Education and Child Care, BC Schools - Foundation Skills Assessment (FSA)",
    "url": "https://catalogue.data.gov.bc.ca/dataset/5554165d-e365-422f-bf85-4f6e4c9167dc/resource/d9377320-2c9e-4a3a-ba4a-af84ae3e344c/download/foundational_skills_assessment_2021-22_to_2025-26_residents_only.csv",
    "dataset_url": "https://catalogue.data.gov.bc.ca/dataset/bc-schools-foundation-skills-assessment-fsa-",
    "download_url": "https://catalogue.data.gov.bc.ca/dataset/5554165d-e365-422f-bf85-4f6e4c9167dc/resource/d9377320-2c9e-4a3a-ba4a-af84ae3e344c/download/foundational_skills_assessment_2021-22_to_2025-26_residents_only.csv",
    "locator": "SCHOOL_YEAR = 2025/2026, PUBLIC_OR_INDEPENDENT = Public School, SUB_POPULATION = All Students, GRADE = 07, FSA_SKILL_CODE = Numeracy, DISTRICT_NUMBER 061, 062, 063",
    "reads": "1,138 on track or extending of 2,235 writers; 3,236 expected"
  },
  "licence": {
    "name": "Open Government Licence - British Columbia",
    "url": "https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content?id=A519A56BC2BF44E4A008B33FCF527F61"
  },
  "attribution": "Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence - British Columbia.",
  "refresh_frequency": "Yearly (Province of B.C.)",
  "data_published": "2026-06-01",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-12T06:12:11Z",
  "licence_type": "open",
  "source_tier": 1,
  "measure_kind": "outcome",
  "better_measure": null,
  "status_rule": {
    "rule": "One rule for every measure: a change smaller than 5% of the earlier value, or smaller than the agency's own margin of error, is “About the same”; no change is calculated across a marked break in a series; homelessness estimates, prices, staffing and comparison pages are shown for context without a label.",
    "reason": "Not comparable: participation differs by 8 points between 2024/25 and 2025/26 (more than 5) in School year 2025/26, so no change is calculated.",
    "threshold_percent": 5.0
  },
  "changes": {
    "year": null,
    "five_year": null
  },
  "direction": {
    "type": "outcome",
    "rule": "Outcome measures read Better, Worse or About the same; published government targets read Ahead of, On or Behind target; value-judgement measures read Rising, Falling or Steady in a neutral colour. A change smaller than the agency's own margin of error, or otherwise smaller than 5% of the earlier value, is About the same (or Steady). No change is calculated across a marked break in a series.",
    "key": "worse",
    "label": "Worse",
    "arrow": "▼",
    "rel": -6.946983546617923,
    "delta": -3.8000000000000043,
    "vs": "2024/25",
    "cur": "2025/26",
    "why": "The change is 6.9% of the earlier value, at or above the 5% threshold.",
    "change": "3.8 pt",
    "one_year": "−3.8 pt",
    "five": {
      "period": "2021/22",
      "comparable": false,
      "years": 4,
      "text": "not comparable",
      "why": "46% of expected students wrote in 2021/22 and 69% in 2025/26, a difference of 24 points (more than 5)"
    },
    "chip_note": "69% wrote, down from 77%"
  },
  "decided_by": [
    {
      "body": "SCH",
      "name": "Boards of Education (districts 61, 62, 63)",
      "decides": "Each board runs its district’s public schools and their educational programs.",
      "laws": [
        {
          "key": "sa85",
          "label": "School Act, s. 85",
          "url": "https://www.bclaws.gov.bc.ca/civix/document/id/complete/statreg/96412_06#section85"
        }
      ],
      "last": null,
      "next": null
    },
    {
      "body": "BC",
      "name": "Province of B.C.",
      "decides": "Sets the requirements for graduation and governs educational programs by ministerial order.",
      "laws": [
        {
          "key": "sa168",
          "label": "School Act, s. 168 (2)",
          "url": "https://www.bclaws.gov.bc.ca/civix/document/id/complete/statreg/96412_11#section168"
        }
      ],
      "last": null,
      "next": null
    }
  ],
  "main_decision_maker": "Boards of Education (districts 61, 62, 63)"
}