2030, Measured.
"Victoria in 2030" is written in the present tense because that is the point of a plan. This page is how you check whether it happened.
← Back to the frameworkEvery indicator below has a definition, a baseline, a 2030 direction or target, a data source and a cadence. The 12 Commitments remain the headline set — where a Commitment states a target for the same indicator, the Commitment's number governs. This library is the full instrument panel behind them, published through the quarterly dashboard (M67).
Measurement cost sits entirely inside lines already booked — M67 ($120–180K/yr within the M68 envelope), the GIS and sensor lines (M53, M56), and the annual survey (M82). This page adds no measure and books no cost.
Where the City publishes no baseline today, the first quarterly report sets it from City data and locks it. A baseline set later cannot be quietly moved — the material-change rule (M78b) applies to measurement the same as to money. Marked below as first report.
Foundation — Honouring the Host Nations
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Baselinefirst reportBy 2030100% of scheduled tables held and publishedCity · quarterly
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Indigenous procurement share of City contract value (M3)Baselinefirst reportBy 2030Rising every year from the locked baselineFinance · annual
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lək̓ʷəŋən place names adopted (M4)Baselinefirst reportBy 2030Programme delivered with the Nations, at their paceWith the Nations · annual
Liveable — Housing and Families
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Net new completed homes (occupancy permit)Baseline2,359 in 2024–25, against the provincial five-year target of 4,902By 203012,000+ cumulative (M6)City · quarterly
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Missing-middle permits per yearBaseline61 (2024)By 2030150 per year — the City's own target, hitCity · quarterly
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Pipeline composition — missing middle / 3BR+ / non-market / rentalBaselinefirst reportBy 203025% / 20% / 15% / 30% (M6 targets)City · annual
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Median permit time, by categoryBaselinefirst report — locked from City dataM67 · quarterly
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Childcare spaces facilitated (M12)Baselinefirst reportBy 2030Rising every yearCity · annual
Safe
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Feeling safe downtown by dayBaseline59% (down from 83% in 2020)By 2030Improvement at every annual survey; the 2020 level (83%) is the reference standardM82 survey · annual
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Unsheltered count, Point-in-TimeBaseline318 (2025 regional count; one outlet reported 308 — noted)By 2030Down at every count — with the shelter-avoidance rate (76% in 2025) falling alongside, because beds people refuse for safety count for nothing (see the Legal Defensibility Annex)CRD PiT · per count
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Shelter spaces open and available at 5 PMBaselinefirst reportBy 2030Published daily; never a mystery againBC Housing + City · daily
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Enforcement-survival rate — share of disputed bylaw enforcement actions upheld at adjudication or in courtBaselinefirst reportM31b · quarterly
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Bylaw coverage 6 AM–10 PM, seven days (M27)BaselineNot in forceBy 2030In force from Year 1, sustainedM31b · quarterly
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Encampment-damage repair spendBaseline$11M cumulative 2023–2025By 2030Falling every yearFinance · annual
Beautiful
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Downtown storefront vacancyBaseline10.7% (DVBA 2025)By 20305%DVBA survey · annual
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Tree canopy cover, citywideBaselineRoughly 30% — 28.8% at the 2019 City LiDAR cycle, up 2.37 points since 2013By 203535%, the target set by Measure 61 and carried at row 12 of the 12 Commitments. Interim: 5,000 net new trees planted by 2030 ($1.25M, booked)City LiDAR · per cycle
Victoria is a Tree City of the World with no adopted canopy target of its own, which is why this framework publishes one. Where the planting count and the canopy percentage diverge, the canopy number governs and the planting programme is what changes. Free seedlings for homeowners are the decisive half, because 75% of the canopy sits on private land.
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Graffiti removed within 48 hoursBaselinefirst reportBy 2030≥95% within the 48-hour standardM67 · quarterly
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Pothole report-to-fix, median daysBaselinefirst reportBy 2030Falling every year from the locked baselineM67 · quarterly
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24/7 public bathroom network sites open (M24b)Baselinefirst reportBy 2030Network delivered per planCity · quarterly
Well-Managed
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Residential tax increaseBaseline9.34% levied 2026By 2030≤6.5% → ≤5.0% → ~3.5% (M66 glide path; 6-of-9 to exceed, on the record)Budget · annual
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Savings realized against plan — managed competition / ZBB / attritionBaseline$0By 2030$2.4M / $3–6M / $1.9–4M per year at steady state (Parts A1–A3), tracked against the Year-1 band of $1.4–2.7M firstM67 vs S&R · quarterly
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Part C1 envelope consumptionBaseline9–27% of the M68 envelopeBy 2030Never exceeds the published share without a published explanationM67 · quarterly
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Debt outstanding and debt per householdBaselinefirst reportBy 2030Within the debt rule (M66c), published every quarterM66c · quarterly
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Household Bill published — one notice, City and regional charges togetherBaselineDoes not existBy 2030Published every year (M66d)Finance · annual
Democratic
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Quarterly reports published on time, in fullBaseline0 published todayBy 203016 of 16 within six weeks of quarter endM67 · quarterly
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Voter turnoutBaseline2026 certified result, once declaredBy 20302030 turnout above 2026 (M82b)Elections BC · per election
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Lobbyist registry live, entries published (M79d)BaselineDoes not existBy 2030Live in Year 1, current thereafterRegistry · continuous
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Annual community survey fielded and published (M82)Baselinefirst reportBy 2030Every year, methodology statedM82 · annual
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Mandate letters and portfolio scorecards published (M79c)BaselineDo not existBy 2030Published in the first 30 days, refreshed annuallyCity · annual
A vision without instrumentation is a mood. The five indicators most often asked about — permit times, canopy, downtown vacancy, the unsheltered count, and the enforcement-survival rate — are all above, each with its baseline and its clock.
In 2030 this page either shows the lines moving or it shows they did not, and the framework accepts both readings, because that is the standard it demanded of everyone else.
Annex version 1.10 — July 31, 2026, published to this site August 5, 2026. This page adds no measure and books no cost. Changes are dated in the version history.
No copyright. Attribution to A City That Works — A Citizens' Framework for Victoria 2026 appreciated but not required.